Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 9.817795 11.206949 12.728995 14.521483 16.576221 18.859734 21.592510
2026-01-04 8.051271 9.898554 12.081258 14.854749 18.291707 22.419631 27.767001
2026-01-11 7.095620 9.195784 11.814204 15.327160 19.931018 25.778671 33.801489
2026-01-18 6.095500 8.245302 11.045341 14.972467 20.360556 27.526397 37.834763
2026-01-25 5.362628 7.527930 10.457030 14.726833 20.823970 29.265400 41.924030
2026-02-01 4.776902 6.931048 9.945261 14.493588 21.225561 30.888976 45.933544
2026-02-08 4.289723 6.413979 9.479209 14.252587 21.553028 32.385181 49.839945
2026-02-15 3.878110 5.961285 9.053736 14.011863 21.828580 33.788645 53.688188
2026-02-22 3.725852 5.881749 9.170754 14.594324 23.399399 37.278502 61.100147
2026-03-01 3.509316 5.678578 9.073051 14.818996 24.406307 39.944480 67.401772
2026-03-08 3.257207 5.393775 8.817381 14.756522 24.924001 41.838730 72.559731
2026-03-15 3.021470 5.114051 8.543454 14.632812 25.315212 43.534420 77.502355
2026-03-22 2.921115 5.056388 8.637509 15.150398 26.866887 47.369493 86.643166
2026-03-29 2.799439 4.951001 8.640181 15.505639 28.158756 50.854551 95.479394
2026-04-05 2.710177 4.893900 8.719391 15.999205 29.735219 54.973623 105.877969
2026-04-12 2.497508 4.596351 8.345898 15.628435 29.668894 56.042822 110.497765
2026-04-19 2.321382 4.351603 8.048157 15.371668 29.790220 57.463396 115.921530
2026-04-26 2.162994 4.127417 7.770452 15.127858 29.910302 58.880210 121.451521
2026-05-03 2.017436 3.916325 7.500876 14.875947 29.988339 60.210601 126.910477
2026-05-10 1.884267 3.719092 7.242740 14.624331 30.041806 61.486975 132.358937
2026-05-17 1.860168 3.735900 7.403496 15.233157 31.917680 66.658176 146.707658
2026-05-24 1.795539 3.665692 7.384984 15.468008 33.022262 70.296756 158.005717
2026-05-31 1.704058 3.533385 7.230512 15.402702 33.473484 72.566733 166.412843